Sha Tin · 2023-06-25 · 17:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly 1.22.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY V/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED LION A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KURPANY Led early TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 43.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | — | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-06-25 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with CIRCUIT STELLAR second and HEALTHY HAPPY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 56.6% | 1.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED LION | 16.7% | 6.01 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 11.1% | 8.98 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 10.4% | 9.63 | — |
| 5 | 0 | KURPANY | 2.7% | 36.85 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 2.5% | 40.33 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 16
PLACE
2 11.5
6 30.5
QUINELLA
2,6 52.5
FORECAST
2,6 102
TIERCE
2,6,3 718
TRIO
2,3,6 283
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 127
QUARTET
2,6,3,1 1,346
2ND DOUBLE
8/2 198
8/6 180