沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 18:17
第 5場
2023-07-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的SPARKLING KNIGHT勝出，贏出1-3/4。FLYING DRAGON獲得亞軍；MIDAS TOUCH獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門FLYING DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT 0.56.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON V-/XB/B2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | MIDAS TOUCH E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON CP/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 13 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 14 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE H-/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 5.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MR VALIANT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 6.5 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | HAPPY HORSE H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 76.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | YOO YOO KNIGHT B- K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 105.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | MASSIVE TALENT B1 M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 9 | 37.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | CHILL WAY H/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 69.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MASTER AGILITY K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MIDAS TOUCH | 32.2% | 3.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT | 11.0% | 9.13 | 10 |
| 3 | 2 | AWESOME TREASURE | 10.1% | 9.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 8.2% | 12.24 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON | 7.7% | 13.03 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | MR VALIANT | 6.0% | 16.73 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 5.5% | 18.22 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | MASSIVE TALENT | 4.7% | 21.47 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 4.3% | 23.03 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 3.8% | 26.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | HAPPY HORSE | 2.2% | 45.65 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 1.8% | 56.18 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | CHILL WAY | 1.6% | 64.27 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.2% | 85.56 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 124
PLACE
1 20
3 42.5
6 24
QUINELLA
1,3 307
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 122.5
1,6 64.5
3,6 193.5
FORECAST
3,1 949
TIERCE
3,1,6 5,743
TRIO
1,3,6 778
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 4,765
QUARTET
3,1,6,12 137,699
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
3/3/1 333
3/3/3 4,123
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 17.5
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 22
3/3 352.5