沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 16:32
第 2場
2023-07-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA VANES勝出，贏出3/4。STRATHPEFFER獲得亞軍；SWEET DIAMOND獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門DREAM PURSUER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT 1.09.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | STRATHPEFFER B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | SWEET DIAMOND B- H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 7 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MORE RICE B1 M Dee · T P Yung | M Dee | T P Yung | 2 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SOO FRESH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | COBHFIELD B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | DREAM PURSUER H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 13 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HERCULES B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 70.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 6 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 45.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | COOL BLUE TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY FUN M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS B Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 9 | THE MULTIPLIER B-/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 13.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DREAM PURSUER | 15.1% | 6.64 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | STRATHPEFFER | 14.0% | 7.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | RATTAN WORLD | 12.7% | 7.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | COOL BLUE | 12.3% | 8.11 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | COBHFIELD | 8.2% | 12.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | MORE RICE | 6.8% | 14.74 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 6.5% | 15.31 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | SOO FRESH | 5.6% | 17.81 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.0% | 20.09 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | HERCULES | 4.6% | 21.93 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY FUN | 4.2% | 24.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.7% | 37.12 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | SWEET DIAMOND | 2.4% | 41.86 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 44.5
PLACE
3 17.5
13 18.5
14 140
QUINELLA
3,13 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 47.5
3,14 367
13,14 398.5
FORECAST
3,13 252
TIERCE
3,13,14 8,475
TRIO
3,13,14 1,430
FIRST 4
3,6,13,14 9,184
QUARTET
3,13,14,6 128,777
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 197
1/13 29.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/3,13,14 348,183
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26
A3 —