沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 21:03
第 10場
2023-07-01沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的SUPERB BOY勝出，贏出1-1/2。WINNER METHOD獲得亞軍；FLAMINGO TRILLION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門FLAMINGO TRILLION跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPERB BOY 後段發力 TT 1.21.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | WINNER METHOD 早段領放 B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 9 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO 後段發力 XB-/TT2 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 14 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | HYPER DRAGON BALL TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON H/CP1/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CZARSON B/TT2 M Dee · P F Yiu | M Dee | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 9.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HOSS XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 6 | 6.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | FALLON H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 99.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 13 | 118.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | NOTORIOUS KING H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 21.8% | 4.58 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | STORM LEGEND | 13.2% | 7.56 | 10 |
| 3 | 13 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 10.9% | 9.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | HOSS | 10.8% | 9.23 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPERB BOY | 8.3% | 11.98 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY DAILY | 5.0% | 19.88 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.0% | 20.05 | 14 |
| 8 | 14 | ROMAN TURBO | 4.9% | 20.43 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNER METHOD | 4.7% | 21.06 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | FALLON | 4.0% | 24.71 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 3.8% | 26.31 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | CZARSON | 3.2% | 31.25 | 9 |
| 13 | 9 | THE RUNNER | 2.5% | 39.39 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN | 1.6% | 62.07 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 94.5
PLACE
1 67.5
7 31.5
13 16
QUINELLA
1,7 1,223
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 326
1,13 150
7,13 73
FORECAST
7,1 2,228
TIERCE
7,1,13 10,346
TRIO
1,7,13 977
FIRST 4
1,7,8,13 2,752
QUARTET
7,1,13,8 92,927
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/4/1 978
2/4/7 2,605
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,13/1,7,13 582,030
9TH DOUBLE
4/1 480.5
4/7 1,276
SIX UP
1,3/3,14/4,8/2,6/4,13/1,7 31,289
3/3/4/2/4/7 477,283
12 [C H Yip] —
3 [C Y Ho] —