沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 18:50
第 6場
2023-07-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P C Ng訓練的MASTER OF FORTUNE勝出，贏出SH。PROSECCO獲得亞軍；PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門NORTHERN BEAST跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 TT 1.34.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 14 | PROSECCO 後段發力 SR2/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 29.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 92.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY H/P Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B M Dee · K L Man | M Dee | K L Man | 13 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | RED HARE KING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS 早段領放 B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 4 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | GOLD STERLING B-/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 66.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT V-/B2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 10 | 128.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 24.3% | 4.11 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST | 17.4% | 5.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 12.2% | 8.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 11.0% | 9.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 8.8% | 11.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 14 | PROSECCO | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 5.5% | 18.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 3.1% | 31.98 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY | 3.0% | 33.42 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 1.8% | 54.32 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE | 1.8% | 55.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.6% | 63.37 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 1.4% | 70.94 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | GOLD STERLING | 0.9% | 115.56 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
3 21
13 72.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
3,14 151.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 233
3,14 56
13,14 257
FORECAST
3,14 393
TIERCE
3,14,13 5,813
TRIO
3,13,14 1,213
FIRST 4
3,5,13,14 26,958
QUARTET
3,14,13,5 222,552
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/3,13,14 248,804
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 755.5
3/14 213.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,9/1,3,6/3,13,14 3,912,893
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 2,849