沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 19:53
第 8場
2023-07-01沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的DREAM WINNER勝出，贏出2。CHEVAL VALIANT獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬以1.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DREAM WINNER 0.56.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 1.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR B M Dee · D A Hayes | M Dee | D A Hayes | 12 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY TYCOON Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC-/B2 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 13 | 154.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 96.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 3 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 65.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 161.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | DIVINE SHINING XB-/BO1/H1/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 128.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DREAM WINNER | 46.1% | 2.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 9.7% | 10.31 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | KA YING SPIRIT | 7.5% | 13.33 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 7.1% | 14.15 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 6.6% | 15.09 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER AXIOM | 5.9% | 16.85 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.2% | 19.21 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | METRO WARRIOR | 3.5% | 28.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.4% | 29.63 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | MAN STAR | 1.9% | 51.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 1.2% | 84.26 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 1.1% | 90.56 | 7 |
| 13 | 9 | DIVINE SHINING | 0.9% | 116.71 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 12
PLACE
2 10.1
5 25
6 18
QUINELLA
2,6 32
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 30.5
2,6 17.5
5,6 65
FORECAST
2,6 38
TIERCE
2,6,5 129
TRIO
2,5,6 67
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 340
QUARTET
2,6,5,3 1,857
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 12
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/2,5,6 10,665
7TH DOUBLE
4/2 36
4/6 52