沙田 · 2023-07-01 · 19:21
第 7場
2023-07-01沙田第7場,Class 4,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GREEN N WHITE勝出,贏出1-3/4。DIVINE ERA獲得亞軍;PUBLICIST獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GREEN N WHITE 後段發力 TT 1.22.03 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | DIVINE ERA H2/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | PUBLICIST V M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 8 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | PARTERRE 早段領放 B2 K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 9 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET SR B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 4 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 25.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE 後段發力 H/V1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 64.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 14 | 44.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER CONTENTED CP/XB/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 141.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | BULB DRAGON CP-/B2/TT- C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 135.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | V CHEVALIERS H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 6 | 64.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GREEN N WHITE | 25.8% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 13.7% | 7.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 10.2% | 9.84 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | PUBLICIST | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 7.6% | 13.14 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET | 6.7% | 15.04 | 7 |
| 7 | 14 | V CHEVALIERS | 5.5% | 18.05 | 14 |
| 8 | 10 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 5.5% | 18.09 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.74 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | DIVINE ERA | 4.5% | 22.37 | 2 |
| 11 | 1 | PARTERRE | 3.1% | 32.78 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER CONTENTED | 1.1% | 93.64 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | BULB DRAGON | 0.9% | 105.90 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE | 0.9% | 112.36 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
4 11.5
7 19.5
8 67
QUINELLA
4,8 374
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 34
4,8 132.5
7,8 226.5
FORECAST
4,8 625
TIERCE
4,8,7 4,586
TRIO
4,7,8 676
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 3,727
QUARTET
4,8,7,1 58,656
全部彩池(另 2 項)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 236.5
3/8 385