Sha Tin · 2023-07-01 · 18:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with PROSECCO second and PRESIDENT'S CHOICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite NORTHERN BEAST finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.34.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 14 | PROSECCO Closed strongly SR2/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 29.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 92.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY H/P Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B M Dee · K L Man | M Dee | K L Man | 13 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | RED HARE KING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 4 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | GOLD STERLING B-/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 66.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT V-/B2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 10 | 128.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 24.3% | 4.11 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST | 17.4% | 5.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 12.2% | 8.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 11.0% | 9.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 8.8% | 11.32 | 11 |
| 6 | 14 | PROSECCO | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 5.5% | 18.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 3.1% | 31.98 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | OSCAR GLORY | 3.0% | 33.42 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 1.8% | 54.32 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE | 1.8% | 55.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.6% | 63.37 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 1.4% | 70.94 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | GOLD STERLING | 0.9% | 115.56 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
3 21
13 72.5
14 20.5
QUINELLA
3,14 151.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 233
3,14 56
13,14 257
FORECAST
3,14 393
TIERCE
3,14,13 5,813
TRIO
3,13,14 1,213
FIRST 4
3,5,13,14 26,958
QUARTET
3,14,13,5 222,552
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/3,13,14 248,804
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 755.5
3/14 213.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,9/1,3,6/3,13,14 3,912,893
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 2,849