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Sha Tin · 2023-07-01 · 18:50

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1.34.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng 6 5.4 SH
2 0 PROSECCO Closed strongly SR2/TT H Bentley · W Y So 1 6.1 SH
3 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly L Hewitson · C W Chang 14 29.0 N
4 0 CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 5 92.0 2-1/4
5 0 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting 7 15.0 2-3/4
6 0 OSCAR GLORY V M F Poon · F C Lor 11 16.0 2-3/4
7 0 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 2 3.5 2-3/4
8 0 SATIRICAL GLORY H/P Z Purton · D A Hayes 12 8.9 2-3/4
9 0 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B M Dee · K L Man 13 63.0 4
10 0 RED HARE KING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 5.7 4-1/4
11 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS Led early B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui 4 14.0 6-1/4
12 0 DIAMOND WINNER B K Teetan · J Size 3 58.0 7-1/4
13 0 GOLD STERLING B-/TT A Badel · C H Yip 8 66.0 7-1/2
14 0 RAINBOW LIGHT V-/B2/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 10 128.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with PROSECCO second and PRESIDENT'S CHOICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite NORTHERN BEAST finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF FORTUNE—2. PROSECCO+0.1L3. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+0.05L4. CIRCUIT NINE+2.25L5. SMILING COLLECTOR+2.75L6. OSCAR GLORY+2.75L7. NORTHERN BEAST+2.75L8. SATIRICAL GLORY+2.75L9. RIGHT AS RAIN+4L10. RED HARE KING+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SATIRICAL GLORY (24.3%) finished 8th — the winner MASTER OF FORTUNE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SATIRICAL GLORY 24.3% 4.11 8
2 0 NORTHERN BEAST 17.4% 5.76 7
3 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE 12.2% 8.21 1
4 0 RED HARE KING 11.0% 9.12 10
5 0 FOREVER GLORIOUS 8.8% 11.32 11
6 0 PROSECCO 7.2% 13.83 2
7 0 SMILING COLLECTOR 5.5% 18.20 5
8 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 3.1% 31.98 9
9 0 OSCAR GLORY 3.0% 33.42 6
10 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 1.8% 54.32 3
11 0 CIRCUIT NINE 1.8% 55.52 4
12 0 DIAMOND WINNER 1.6% 63.37 12
13 0 RAINBOW LIGHT 1.4% 70.94 14
14 0 GOLD STERLING 0.9% 115.56 13
SATIRICAL GLORYNORTHERN BEASTMASTER OF FORTUNE — wonRED HARE KINGFOREVER GLORIOUSPROSECCOSMILING COLLECTORRIGHT AS RAINOSCAR GLORYPRESIDENT'S CHOICECIRCUIT NINEDIAMOND WINNERRAINBOW LIGHTGOLD STERLING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 54.5

PLACE

3 21

13 72.5

14 20.5

QUINELLA

3,14 151.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,13 233

3,14 56

13,14 257

FORECAST

3,14 393

TIERCE

3,14,13 5,813

TRIO

3,13,14 1,213

FIRST 4

3,5,13,14 26,958

QUARTET

3,14,13,5 222,552

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 22

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,6/3,13,14 248,804

5TH DOUBLE

3/3 755.5

3/14 213.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,9/1,3,6/3,13,14 3,912,893

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,9/1,3,6/Any Combination 2,849