Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-07-01 · 20:30

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF CHARM, ridden by L Currie and trained by J Size, won by N, with GLOBAL HARMONY second and INVINCIBLE SAGE third. The 2.6 favourite INVINCIBLE SAGE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 BUNDLE OF CHARM 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · J Size 1 11.0 N
2 13 GLOBAL HARMONY CP M Dee · D A Hayes 14 65.0 N
3 6 INVINCIBLE SAGE H Bowman · D J Hall 2 2.6 1
4 7 GOLDEN EMPIRE L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 6.2 1-3/4
5 2 DANCING CODE PC/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 3.6 2-1/4
6 11 MUGEN TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng 9 6.6 2-1/4
7 12 READY TO WIN XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 21.0 2-1/4
8 14 NISHIKADO B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 5 176.0 3-1/2
9 8 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP CP K Teetan · P F Yiu 6 26.0 4-3/4
10 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 12 41.0 6
11 5 O'LINER SB1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 11 76.0 6-1/2
12 1 SUPER FOOTBALL B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 8 157.0 8
13 9 IMPERIAL GOODNESS H Bentley · D J Whyte 4 147.0 10
14 10 HARRY'S HERO TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 13 170.0 16-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE OF CHARM2. GLOBAL HARMONY+0.05L3. INVINCIBLE SAGE+1L4. GOLDEN EMPIRE+1.75L5. DANCING CODE+2.25L6. MUGEN+2.25L7. READY TO WIN+2.25L8. NISHIKADO+3.5L9. JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP+4.75L10. BEAUTY CRESCENT+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick DANCING CODE (25.2%) finished 5th — the winner BUNDLE OF CHARM was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 DANCING CODE 25.2% 3.97 5
2 6 INVINCIBLE SAGE 19.5% 5.12 3
3 7 GOLDEN EMPIRE 13.9% 7.18 4
4 11 MUGEN 11.2% 8.94 6
5 12 READY TO WIN 6.1% 16.29 7
6 4 BUNDLE OF CHARM 4.7% 21.48 1
7 8 JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP 4.3% 23.48 9
8 13 GLOBAL HARMONY 3.1% 32.09 2
9 1 SUPER FOOTBALL 3.0% 33.83 12
10 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT 2.8% 35.67 10
11 10 HARRY'S HERO 2.3% 43.95 14
12 9 IMPERIAL GOODNESS 2.2% 44.56 13
13 14 NISHIKADO 0.9% 108.30 8
14 5 O'LINER 0.8% 126.70 11
DANCING CODEINVINCIBLE SAGEGOLDEN EMPIREMUGENREADY TO WINBUNDLE OF CHARM — wonJOYFUL FRIENDSHIPGLOBAL HARMONYSUPER FOOTBALLBEAUTY CRESCENTHARRY'S HEROIMPERIAL GOODNESSNISHIKADOO'LINER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 115

PLACE

4 29

6 11.5

13 112

QUINELLA

4,13 3,662.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 51

4,13 758.5

6,13 223

FORECAST

4,13 6,828

TIERCE

4,13,6 26,444

TRIO

4,6,13 2,635

FIRST 4

4,6,7,13 2,434

QUARTET

4,13,6,7 124,770

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 49.5

A2

8TH DOUBLE

2/4 255.5

2/13 126.5