Sha Tin · 2023-07-01 · 16:03
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-07-01 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with MIRACLES second and FORTUNE MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly 1.22.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 1 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MIRACLES Led early B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Dee · J Richards | M Dee | J Richards | 5 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DOUBLE SHOW Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 13 | 51.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 9 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | VALHALLA XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 8.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | WIN WIN CHARITY B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FINGERS CROSSED B/H/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 6.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | TRAVEL GLORY Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | VIVA A LA P/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 7 | 9.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 5.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY MATADOR XB/B2 H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 6 | 86.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | GIVE WAY PLEASE H-/B/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 56.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL P/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 27.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 16.5% | 6.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FINGERS CROSSED | 14.2% | 7.02 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | VALHALLA | 10.4% | 9.61 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 8.4% | 11.84 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | MIRACLES | 7.1% | 14.15 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | VIVA A LA | 5.3% | 18.73 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | FORTUNE MASTER | 5.2% | 19.37 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL | 5.0% | 19.92 | 14 |
| 10 | 12 | TRAVEL GLORY | 4.3% | 23.02 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.9% | 25.49 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | DOUBLE SHOW | 2.8% | 35.50 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.4% | 41.03 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | HAPPY MATADOR | 1.4% | 71.79 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 32.5
PLACE
1 14.5
4 34.5
8 65.5
QUINELLA
1,4 174
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 72
1,8 160
4,8 417.5
FORECAST
1,4 316
TIERCE
1,4,8 3,341
TRIO
1,4,8 1,306
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 9,683
QUARTET
1,4,8,6 114,319
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A2 —
A3 —