沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 05:35
第 2場
2023-10-22沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C H Yip訓練的TELECOM DRAGON勝出，贏出SH。REGENT GLORY獲得亞軍；KA YING CHEER獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門KA YING CHEER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TELECOM DRAGON TT 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 5.7 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | KA YING CHEER CP M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 11 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 12 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SONIC BOOM XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 95.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 5.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GET THE MONIES XB- Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 10 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | CHOICERUS SR-/B2 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | NICETOBEMET CP-/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 14 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SPEEDY FORTUNE M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 4 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | GALLANT GOODY A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 93.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | DAN ATTACK H/P1/XB1/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 7 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | FANCY STAR TT1 L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 13 | 58.0 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING CHEER | 38.6% | 2.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | GET THE MONIES | 8.2% | 12.17 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 7.0% | 14.26 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | GALLANT GOODY | 5.7% | 17.69 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 5.6% | 17.97 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | UNIVERSAL PURSUIT | 4.6% | 21.95 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | REGENT GLORY | 4.3% | 23.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | NICETOBEMET | 4.2% | 23.65 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.66 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | FANCY STAR | 3.2% | 31.11 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | DAN ATTACK | 2.0% | 49.30 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | CHOICERUS | 1.9% | 51.99 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | SONIC BOOM | 1.6% | 63.37 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 57
PLACE
1 14
7 18.5
12 42.5
QUINELLA
7,12 645
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 40
1,12 90.5
7,12 175
FORECAST
7,12 995
TIERCE
7,12,1 4,201
TRIO
1,7,12 528
FIRST 4
1,7,9,12 863
QUARTET
7,12,1,9 16,076
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/7 559.5
8/12 293.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,12>2,5/1,7,12 41,452