沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 07:10
第 5場
2023-10-22沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的INVINCIBLE SAGE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER COMMANDER獲得亞軍；FLYING HIGH獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門BEAUTY WAVES跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE 0.56.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | BEAUTY WAVES XB1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 2.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR B A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DIVINE SHINING BO/H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 165.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | KIMBERLEY B1/TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 8 | 194.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | MERCHANT PRINCE H-/B/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 6 | 235.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 7 | 20.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 38.7% | 2.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | BEAUTY WAVES | 11.6% | 8.59 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 10.2% | 9.79 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | KA YING SPIRIT | 10.0% | 9.96 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | SUPER COMMANDER | 6.8% | 14.71 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.3% | 15.94 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.6% | 17.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 3.9% | 25.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING HIGH | 3.5% | 28.68 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM | 1.4% | 73.50 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | DIVINE SHINING | 0.7% | 143.02 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.7% | 147.59 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | KIMBERLEY | 0.7% | 153.81 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 40.5
PLACE
3 41
4 15.5
13 34
QUINELLA
4,13 210.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 96
3,13 240
4,13 77
FORECAST
4,13 442
TIERCE
4,13,3 4,589
TRIO
3,4,13 997
FIRST 4
2,3,4,13 2,373
QUARTET
4,13,3,2 42,855
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/1/4 3,535
2/1/13 2,684
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 565.5
1/13 361.5