沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 06:40
第 4場
2023-10-22沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、K W Lui訓練的CHANCHENG GLORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。MASTER HERO獲得亞軍；AESTHETICISM獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.0倍大熱門STRONGEST BOY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY 一路領先 B/XB 1.35.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 2 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MASTER HERO CP/XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MISTER DAPPER 後段發力 H1/SR1/XB1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 3 | 62.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 8 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE TT- M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 1 | 66.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | STURDY RUBY TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SIMPLY MAVERICK 後段發力 B- L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 10 | 64.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | NOBLE WIN 後段發力 E/XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 12 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 70.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | PERFETTO V L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | PO ON WAY CP-/H-/B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | STRONGEST BOY | 13.9% | 7.19 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | CELTIC TIMES | 13.6% | 7.35 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | STURDY RUBY | 11.3% | 8.83 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 9.8% | 10.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | MASTER HERO | 9.7% | 10.32 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | PERFETTO | 7.9% | 12.61 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | NOBLE WIN | 6.6% | 15.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 6.6% | 15.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 6.1% | 16.43 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | PO ON WAY | 5.5% | 18.25 | 14 |
| 11 | 6 | MISTER DAPPER | 4.2% | 23.74 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.5% | 40.22 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE | 1.4% | 71.74 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 0.9% | 116.07 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 73
PLACE
1 28.5
5 24
9 18.5
QUINELLA
1,5 309
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 104
1,9 79
5,9 68
FORECAST
1,5 660
TIERCE
1,5,9 2,837
TRIO
1,5,9 338
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 5,453
QUARTET
1,5,9,6 106,521
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,12>4,5/1,5,9 6,898
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 485.5
2/5 103