沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 07:45
第 6場
2023-10-22沙田第6場,Class 4,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的FUN TOGETHER勝出,贏出1/2。HOLY LAKE獲得亞軍;OWNERS' PRAISE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門OWNERS' PRAISE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FUN TOGETHER 後段發力 CP/TT 1.22.03 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | HOLY LAKE 後段發力 XB/B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 CP Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 CP1/H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BEATO 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 13 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | MAXIMIZE HEART 後段發力 K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 6 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER 早段領放 B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 4 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LOST CHILD L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CHARMANDER B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | ART LITE CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 2 | 179.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | GREAT DAYS B-/CP1/XB1 L Currie · P C Ng | L Currie | P C Ng | 14 | 139.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NORTHERN BEAST | 19.4% | 5.14 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER | 8.8% | 11.38 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | LOST CHILD | 8.1% | 12.41 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 8.0% | 12.46 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 7.0% | 14.24 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEATO | 6.5% | 15.34 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | HOLY LAKE | 5.1% | 19.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 4.9% | 20.36 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.8% | 20.85 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | CHARMANDER | 4.4% | 22.56 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | FUN TOGETHER | 4.0% | 24.96 | 1 |
| 13 | 9 | GREAT DAYS | 0.6% | 154.58 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | ART LITE | 0.6% | 173.31 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 190.5
PLACE
1 16.5
4 63.5
5 47
QUINELLA
4,5 2,367.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 197.5
1,5 139.5
4,5 679.5
FORECAST
5,4 4,203
TIERCE
5,4,1 26,934
TRIO
1,4,5 3,027
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 6,516
QUARTET
5,4,1,6 273,404
全部彩池(另 3 項)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,13/1,4,5 932,602
5TH DOUBLE
4/4 248
4/5 1,085
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,9/3,4,13/Any Combination 14,415