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Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 07:45

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FUN TOGETHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with HOLY LAKE second and OWNERS' PRAISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite OWNERS' PRAISE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.22.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 FUN TOGETHER Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 7 19.0 1/2
2 4 HOLY LAKE Closed strongly XB/B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui 3 24.0 1/2
3 1 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · W Y So 8 4.1 1-3/4
4 6 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP1/H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 10.0 1-3/4
5 2 BEATO Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 6.1 1-3/4
6 7 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 13 9.2 2
7 11 MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly K De Melo · C H Yip 6 38.0 2-1/2
8 12 CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B A Badel · K L Man 4 5.5 3-3/4
9 10 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Whyte 12 23.0 4-1/4
10 3 LOST CHILD L Hewitson · C W Chang 11 7.0 4-1/4
11 13 HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 9 10.0 4-1/4
12 8 CHARMANDER B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 10 55.0 5-3/4
13 14 ART LITE CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 2 179.0 8
14 9 GREAT DAYS B-/CP1/XB1 L Currie · P C Ng 14 139.0 10-1/2
0 CAN'T GO WONG Y L Chung · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FUN TOGETHER2. HOLY LAKE+0.5L3. OWNERS' PRAISE+1.75L4. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.75L5. BEATO+1.75L6. NORTHERN BEAST+2L7. MAXIMIZE HEART+2.5L8. CHIU CHOW BROTHER+3.75L9. STRATHPEFFER+4.25L10. LOST CHILD+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick NORTHERN BEAST (19.4%) finished 6th — the winner FUN TOGETHER was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 NORTHERN BEAST 19.4% 5.14 6
2 1 OWNERS' PRAISE 17.6% 5.67 3
3 10 STRATHPEFFER 8.8% 11.38 9
4 3 LOST CHILD 8.1% 12.41 10
5 12 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 8.0% 12.46 8
6 6 SUNLIGHT POWER 7.0% 14.24 4
7 2 BEATO 6.5% 15.34 5
8 4 HOLY LAKE 5.1% 19.46 2
9 11 MAXIMIZE HEART 4.9% 20.36 7
10 13 HORSESAIN BOLT 4.8% 20.85 11
11 8 CHARMANDER 4.4% 22.56 12
12 5 FUN TOGETHER 4.0% 24.96 1
13 9 GREAT DAYS 0.6% 154.58 14
14 14 ART LITE 0.6% 173.31 13
NORTHERN BEASTOWNERS' PRAISESTRATHPEFFERLOST CHILDCHIU CHOW BROTHERSUNLIGHT POWERBEATOHOLY LAKEMAXIMIZE HEARTHORSESAIN BOLTCHARMANDERFUN TOGETHER — wonGREAT DAYSART LITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 190.5

PLACE

1 16.5

4 63.5

5 47

QUINELLA

4,5 2,367.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 197.5

1,5 139.5

4,5 679.5

FORECAST

5,4 4,203

TIERCE

5,4,1 26,934

TRIO

1,4,5 3,027

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 6,516

QUARTET

5,4,1,6 273,404

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,13/1,4,5 932,602

5TH DOUBLE

4/4 248

4/5 1,085

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,9/3,4,13/Any Combination 14,415