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Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 15:41

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FUN TOGETHER Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 7 19.0 1/2
2 0 HOLY LAKE Closed strongly XB/B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui 3 24.0 1/2
3 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · W Y So 8 4.1 1-3/4
4 0 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP1/H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 10.0 1-3/4
5 0 BEATO Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 6.1 1-3/4
6 0 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 13 9.2 2
7 0 MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly K De Melo · C H Yip 6 38.0 2-1/2
8 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B A Badel · K L Man 4 5.5 3-3/4
9 0 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Whyte 12 23.0 4-1/4
10 0 LOST CHILD L Hewitson · C W Chang 11 7.0 4-1/4
11 0 HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 9 10.0 4-1/4
12 0 CHARMANDER B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 10 55.0 5-3/4
13 0 ART LITE CP/H/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo 2 179.0 8
14 0 GREAT DAYS B-/CP1/XB1 L Currie · P C Ng 14 139.0 10-1/2
— 0 CAN'T GO WONG Y L Chung · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FUN TOGETHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with HOLY LAKE second and OWNERS' PRAISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite OWNERS' PRAISE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FUN TOGETHER—2. HOLY LAKE+0.5L3. OWNERS' PRAISE+1.75L4. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.75L5. BEATO+1.75L6. NORTHERN BEAST+2L7. MAXIMIZE HEART+2.5L8. CHIU CHOW BROTHER+3.75L9. STRATHPEFFER+4.25L10. LOST CHILD+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick NORTHERN BEAST (19.4%) finished 6th — the winner FUN TOGETHER was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 NORTHERN BEAST 19.4% 5.14 6
2 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 17.6% 5.67 3
3 0 STRATHPEFFER 8.8% 11.38 9
4 0 LOST CHILD 8.1% 12.41 10
5 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 8.0% 12.46 8
6 0 SUNLIGHT POWER 7.0% 14.24 4
7 0 BEATO 6.5% 15.34 5
8 0 HOLY LAKE 5.1% 19.46 2
9 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 4.9% 20.36 7
10 0 HORSESAIN BOLT 4.8% 20.85 11
11 0 CHARMANDER 4.4% 22.56 12
12 0 FUN TOGETHER 4.0% 24.96 1
13 0 GREAT DAYS 0.6% 154.58 14
14 0 ART LITE 0.6% 173.31 13
NORTHERN BEASTOWNERS' PRAISESTRATHPEFFERLOST CHILDCHIU CHOW BROTHERSUNLIGHT POWERBEATOHOLY LAKEMAXIMIZE HEARTHORSESAIN BOLTCHARMANDERFUN TOGETHER — wonGREAT DAYSART LITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 190.5

PLACE

1 16.5

4 63.5

5 47

QUINELLA

4,5 2,367.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 197.5

1,5 139.5

4,5 679.5

FORECAST

5,4 4,203

TIERCE

5,4,1 26,934

TRIO

1,4,5 3,027

FIRST 4

1,4,5,6 6,516

QUARTET

5,4,1,6 273,404

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,13/1,4,5 932,602

5TH DOUBLE

4/4 248

4/5 1,085

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,9/3,4,13/Any Combination 14,415