Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | ALACRITY Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 4.5 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SAUVESTRE Led early TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 8 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPREME LUCKY H/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 12 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 102.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT1 A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 1 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 8.2 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 13 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 5 | 58.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY CP-/B2 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | KEEFY TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 40.0 | 16-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ATULLIBIGEAL, ridden by K De Melo and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with ALACRITY second and SAUVESTRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SUPREME LUCKY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DANCING CODE | 21.4% | 4.67 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPREME LUCKY | 16.5% | 6.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ALACRITY | 11.9% | 8.39 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 8.8% | 11.40 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 7.2% | 13.88 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 7.1% | 14.05 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.6% | 21.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 4.4% | 22.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 4.2% | 23.60 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT | 3.4% | 29.32 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | EASON | 3.1% | 32.22 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | KEEFY | 2.9% | 35.02 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 2.8% | 35.52 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 1.7% | 59.90 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 111.5
PLACE
4 56
9 18
11 39
QUINELLA
9,11 297
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 143
4,11 358.5
9,11 109.5
FORECAST
11,9 781
TIERCE
11,9,4 10,470
TRIO
4,9,11 1,808
FIRST 4
4,9,10,11 1,982
QUARTET
11,9,4,10 69,197
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
9/12/9 3,887
9/12/11 83,300
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,12/4,9,11 2,193,398
9TH DOUBLE
12/9 448
12/11 7,088
SIX UP
4,13/4,5/1,2,5/5,9/10,12/9,11 501,667
3 [H Bowman] —
3 [K W Lui] —