Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 08:30
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SUCCESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by SH, with LUCKY SWEYNESSE second and DUKE WAI third. The 1.4 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS E 1.08.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 24.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 1.4 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | DUKE WAI PC H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ADIOS TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 6 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| — | 5 | STOLTZ L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 49.4% | 2.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 35.2% | 2.84 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | ADIOS | 6.8% | 14.78 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | DUKE WAI | 5.7% | 17.66 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 3.0% | 33.74 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 240
PLACE
1 11
2 38
QUINELLA
1,2 97.5
FORECAST
2,1 484
TIERCE
2,1,4 2,407
TRIO
1,2,4 157
- —
6TH DOUBLE
5/1,5 61.5
5/2 4,077