Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GLUCK RACER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/4, with FORTUNE MASTER second and PROSECCO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite PROSECCO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GLUCK RACER Closed strongly H2 1.22.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 9 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PROSECCO Closed strongly SR/V/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | COMPULSORY Closed strongly B-/CP1/XB1/TT- K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 6 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | APEX TOP Led early B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | MASTER OF LUCK B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | YOO YOO KNIGHT Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | NOBLE BOYZ B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 14 | 44.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIRE BALL M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 8.9 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | MULTIWIN B/H Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 54.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD BOY B-/CP1/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 8 | 49.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | CURLING SPEED H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 80.0 | 19-3/4 |
| — | 5 | CHARMING STEED K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PROSECCO | 29.4% | 3.41 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | CASA LEGEND | 17.3% | 5.78 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | MASTER OF LUCK | 11.9% | 8.38 | 7 |
| 4 | 13 | NOBLE BOYZ | 7.9% | 12.66 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 7.2% | 13.94 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | APEX TOP | 6.5% | 15.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.2% | 23.74 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | COMPULSORY | 4.0% | 24.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | FIRE BALL | 3.7% | 27.20 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 3.3% | 30.19 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD BOY | 2.3% | 43.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIWIN | 1.6% | 60.89 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | CURLING SPEED | 0.7% | 137.32 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 72.5
PLACE
2 13
8 26.5
12 54
QUINELLA
8,12 996.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 46
2,12 95.5
8,12 233
FORECAST
8,12 1,577
TIERCE
8,12,2 6,769
TRIO
2,8,12 695
FIRST 4
2,8,12,14 3,006
QUARTET
8,12,2,14 74,314