Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 06:20
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION METHOD, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with RUBYLOT second and CHAMPION INSTINCT third. The 3.7 favourite RUBYLOT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD TT 1.09.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 10 | 7.6 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | RUBYLOT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 6.1 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT B- B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 14 | 117.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ENDEARED XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HO HO STAR TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER CONTENTED CP-/XB-/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | MULAN TT1 K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 6 | 161.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | JOY FOR YOU H-/B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY B-/H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 145.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 5 | GANGNAM STAR H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | RUBYLOT | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE | 17.5% | 5.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | ENDEARED | 13.0% | 7.70 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT | 5.2% | 19.15 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | HO HO STAR | 3.3% | 30.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 1.1% | 87.83 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER CONTENTED | 1.1% | 88.31 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 1.1% | 90.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.1% | 94.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT | 1.0% | 100.18 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | MULAN | 0.9% | 107.21 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 76
PLACE
2 27.5
4 17.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
2,4 184.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 63
2,12 73.5
4,12 48.5
FORECAST
2,4 432
TIERCE
2,4,12 1,990
TRIO
2,4,12 276
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 5,224
QUARTET
2,4,12,7 80,613
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 402
7/4,5 17