沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 06:20
第 3場
2023-10-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、C S Shum訓練的CHAMPION METHOD勝出，贏出SH。RUBYLOT獲得亞軍；CHAMPION INSTINCT獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門RUBYLOT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD TT 1.09.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 10 | 7.6 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | RUBYLOT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 6.1 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT B- B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 14 | 117.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ENDEARED XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HO HO STAR TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER CONTENTED CP-/XB-/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | MULAN TT1 K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 6 | 161.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | JOY FOR YOU H-/B1 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY B-/H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 145.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 5 | GANGNAM STAR H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION METHOD | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | RUBYLOT | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE | 17.5% | 5.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | ENDEARED | 13.0% | 7.70 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT | 5.2% | 19.15 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | HO HO STAR | 3.3% | 30.39 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 1.1% | 87.83 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | SUPER CONTENTED | 1.1% | 88.31 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | ISLAND BRIGHT | 1.1% | 90.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | JOY FOR YOU | 1.1% | 94.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | MASSIVE TALENT | 1.0% | 100.18 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | MULAN | 0.9% | 107.21 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 76
PLACE
2 27.5
4 17.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
2,4 184.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 63
2,12 73.5
4,12 48.5
FORECAST
2,4 432
TIERCE
2,4,12 1,990
TRIO
2,4,12 276
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 5,224
QUARTET
2,4,12,7 80,613
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 402
7/4,5 17