沙田 · 2023-10-22 · 09:25
第 9場
2023-10-22沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由K De Melo策騎、K W Lui訓練的RISING FROM ASHES勝出，贏出N。NIMBLE NIMBUS獲得亞軍；FIVE G PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門SWORD POINT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES 後段發力 B/TT 1.46.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 2 | 23.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | NIMBLE NIMBUS 後段發力 V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 7 | 24.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | LA CITY BLANCHE 後段發力 H/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 8 | 50.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SWORD POINT CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | HELENE FEELING 後段發力 TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | HAMERON L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 5 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY V/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 14 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR 早段領放 B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | LOOKING GREAT CP2/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 103.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 65.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWORD POINT | 30.1% | 3.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | HAMERON | 14.7% | 6.78 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | HELENE FEELING | 11.0% | 9.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.0% | 14.20 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | THE BEST PEACH | 6.6% | 15.25 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | RISING FROM ASHES | 5.3% | 18.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 4.9% | 20.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.39 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 4.0% | 25.24 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.9% | 34.18 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.4% | 41.30 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | BUTTERFIELD | 2.4% | 42.25 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 2.4% | 42.48 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | BOURBONAIRE | 1.7% | 59.97 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 230
PLACE
3 30.5
10 64
12 51
QUINELLA
10,12 2,935
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 282
3,12 290.5
10,12 679
FORECAST
12,10 5,375
TIERCE
12,10,3 51,859
TRIO
3,10,12 6,717
FIRST 4
3,10,12,14 54,401
QUARTET
12,10,3,14 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
9/10 360.5
9/12 2,366.5