Sha Tin · 2023-10-22 · 08:45
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-10-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASSIVE ACTION, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with TAMRA BLITZ second and CHIU CHOW SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. The 2.1 favourite GOLDEN SAMURAI finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION Wire to wire SR/V 1.21.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 9 | 5.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly XB-/H/SR/CP1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | DARCI JOY B/TT Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 7 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | MARADO B A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | FALLON Closed strongly H/TT K De Melo · A S Cruz | K De Melo | A S Cruz | 10 | 118.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 46.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE CP1/TT1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | FRANTANCK K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 13 | 122.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 31.6% | 3.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 9.0% | 11.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 8.2% | 12.15 | 14 |
| 4 | 12 | LET'S DO IT | 8.2% | 12.25 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | TAMRA BLITZ | 7.0% | 14.38 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 6.5% | 15.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | DARCI JOY | 6.1% | 16.44 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | MARADO | 5.1% | 19.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 4.5% | 22.44 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | STORM LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.61 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 1.8% | 56.85 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | FALLON | 0.8% | 120.05 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | FRANTANCK | 0.8% | 121.40 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 56.5
PLACE
2 23.5
5 31
9 17.5
QUINELLA
5,9 302.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 148
2,9 85
5,9 99.5
FORECAST
9,5 561
TIERCE
9,5,2 4,287
TRIO
2,5,9 920
FIRST 4
2,5,9,11 374
QUARTET
9,5,2,11 14,324
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4>1,5/2,5,9 19,874
7TH DOUBLE
2/5 548
2/9 2,074.5