沙田 · 2024-07-14 · 02:29
第 1場
2024-07-14沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的SUPER ELITE勝出，贏出2。JOYFUL LIFE獲得亞軍；CHEER FOR SOUTH獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門CHEER FOR SOUTH跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER ELITE B/H/XB 1.09.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | YOUTH POWER B1/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | CERVIN TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 13 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | RATTAN WORLD B2/TT K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 1 | 5.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD VIEW GLORY B A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 4 | 6.5 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 9 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | DRAGON KINGDOM H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.3 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | E TALENT B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 2 | 92.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 10 | SUPER JOY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 19.8% | 5.06 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 16.7% | 6.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER ELITE | 12.8% | 7.79 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL LIFE | 11.5% | 8.70 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | RATTAN WORLD | 8.0% | 12.48 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | ALLOY KING | 6.8% | 14.66 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 6.1% | 16.31 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 4.9% | 20.56 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 4.3% | 23.04 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 4.1% | 24.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | E TALENT | 1.8% | 56.21 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUTH POWER | 1.7% | 58.46 | 5 |
| 13 | 1 | CERVIN | 1.5% | 68.32 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 113
PLACE
2 25
7 20
11 38
QUINELLA
2,11 488.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 75
2,11 154.5
7,11 115.5
FORECAST
11,2 917
TIERCE
11,2,7 4,365
TRIO
2,7,11 648
FIRST 4
2,3,7,11 2,864
QUARTET
11,2,7,3 77,936