沙田 · 2024-07-14 · 02:29
第 6場
2024-07-14沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C H Yip訓練的HAPPY DAILY勝出，贏出SH。BRILLIANT EXPRESS獲得亞軍；FIGHTING MACHINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門BRILLIANT EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT 1.22.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS 後段發力 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 6.2 | N |
| 4 | 13 | AFFIRM TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY PARK 早段領放 XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | IVICTORIAM B/XB/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 132.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | THE AZURE 後段發力 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE CP1/XB1/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | AMAZING RUN K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 91.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE ONE B/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 12 | 118.0 | 32-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MISTER FOX K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | AFFIRM | 14.3% | 7.01 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | STORM LEGEND | 9.1% | 10.99 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY PARK | 8.1% | 12.31 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | AMAZING RUN | 7.1% | 14.17 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.9% | 20.60 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | THE AZURE | 3.4% | 29.57 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.9% | 34.99 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 2.8% | 35.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ACE ONE | 1.2% | 82.69 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 1.0% | 95.67 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | IVICTORIAM | 0.4% | 244.63 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 59
PLACE
4 22.5
7 17
12 18.5
QUINELLA
7,12 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 53.5
4,12 69.5
7,12 51.5
FORECAST
12,7 277
TIERCE
12,7,4 1,512
TRIO
4,7,12 245
FIRST 4
4,7,12,13 155
QUARTET
12,7,4,13 4,999
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/7 19
4/12 240.5