Sha Tin · 2024-07-14 · 18:31
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT 1.22.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 6.2 | N |
| 4 | 13 | AFFIRM TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 14 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY PARK Led early XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | IVICTORIAM B/XB/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 132.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE CP1/XB1/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | AMAZING RUN K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 11 | 91.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE ONE B/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 12 | 118.0 | 32-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MISTER FOX K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with BRILLIANT EXPRESS second and FIGHTING MACHINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | AFFIRM | 14.3% | 7.01 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | STORM LEGEND | 9.1% | 10.99 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY PARK | 8.1% | 12.31 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | AMAZING RUN | 7.1% | 14.17 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.9% | 20.60 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | THE AZURE | 3.4% | 29.57 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.9% | 34.99 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 2.8% | 35.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ACE ONE | 1.2% | 82.69 | 14 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 1.0% | 95.67 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | IVICTORIAM | 0.4% | 244.63 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 59
PLACE
4 22.5
7 17
12 18.5
QUINELLA
7,12 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 53.5
4,12 69.5
7,12 51.5
FORECAST
12,7 277
TIERCE
12,7,4 1,512
TRIO
4,7,12 245
FIRST 4
4,7,12,13 155
QUARTET
12,7,4,13 4,999
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/7 19
4/12 240.5