Sha Tin · 2024-07-14 · 17:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 11 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 3 | AROMATICA Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 4 | 8.7 | N |
| 3 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 39.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 14 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SPEEDSTAR B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 1 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 33.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ASIAN ONE B/XB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 10 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 7 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE XB H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 3.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B- Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 13 | 53.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION Led early PC L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 3 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ICON TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | E GLORY B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | CHIRON B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 33.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-14 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PERFECT PEACH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with AROMATICA second and TSUEN WAN GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite INVINCIBLE MISSILE finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SPEEDSTAR | 39.4% | 2.54 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH | 7.6% | 13.14 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | AROMATICA | 6.8% | 14.75 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 4.7% | 21.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | DOUBLE SHOW | 4.0% | 24.80 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.7% | 26.77 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.6% | 27.77 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | E GLORY | 3.4% | 29.66 | 13 |
| 10 | 6 | ASIAN ONE | 3.3% | 30.71 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.8% | 35.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.1% | 47.32 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | CHIRON | 1.9% | 51.38 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 1.5% | 66.99 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 54
PLACE
3 22.5
7 20
11 113
QUINELLA
3,7 199
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 68
3,11 462.5
7,11 298.5
FORECAST
7,3 392
TIERCE
7,3,11 9,881
TRIO
3,7,11 1,844
FIRST 4
3,7,9,11 5,993
QUARTET
7,3,11,9 95,470
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/3,7,11 20,854
2ND DOUBLE
7/3 148
7/7 867