Sha Tin · 2024-07-14 · 02:30
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-14 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with MOMENTS IN TIME second and THE GOLDEN SCENERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B-/XB/V1 1.33.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | C P BRAVE V A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 6.8 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | SWORD POINT CP B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 10 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early CP- B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 56.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MONEY CATCHER B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 54.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 47.4% | 2.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 14.7% | 6.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 9.0% | 11.15 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | C P BRAVE | 8.6% | 11.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | THE BEST PEACH | 6.5% | 15.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.6% | 17.74 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SWORD POINT | 3.1% | 32.08 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.4% | 42.38 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 1.4% | 73.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 1.3% | 74.39 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17.5
PLACE
1 20
4 12
6 25.5
QUINELLA
1,4 78
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 30
1,6 124
4,6 41
FORECAST
4,1 88
TIERCE
4,1,6 600
TRIO
1,4,6 212
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 197
QUARTET
4,1,6,7 2,027
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 39.5
2/4 28.5