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Sha Tin · 2024-07-14 · 19:38

Race 8

Class 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.78
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B-/XB/V1 1.33.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 2 1.7 2-1/4
2 1 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum 7 9.0 2-1/4
3 6 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 10.0 2-1/4
4 7 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall 6 8.8 4-3/4
5 8 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor 5 41.0 5
6 10 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 12.0 6-1/2
7 9 C P BRAVE V A Badel · P F Yiu 1 6.8 7
8 2 SWORD POINT CP B Avdulla · F C Lor 10 27.0 8
9 5 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early CP- B Thompson · Y S Tsui 3 56.0 9-3/4
10 3 MONEY CATCHER B K C Leung · F C Lor 8 54.0 10

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-14 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHANCHENG GLORY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-1/4, with MOMENTS IN TIME second and THE GOLDEN SCENERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHANCHENG GLORY—2. MOMENTS IN TIME+2.25L3. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+2.25L4. ATULLIBIGEAL+4.75L5. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+5L6. THE BEST PEACH+6.5L7. C P BRAVE+7L8. SWORD POINT+8L9. TELECOM FIGHTERS+9.75L10. MONEY CATCHER+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick CHANCHENG GLORY (47.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 CHANCHENG GLORY 47.4% 2.11 1
2 1 MOMENTS IN TIME 14.7% 6.79 2
3 7 ATULLIBIGEAL 9.0% 11.15 4
4 9 C P BRAVE 8.6% 11.67 7
5 10 THE BEST PEACH 6.5% 15.33 6
6 6 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 5.6% 17.74 3
7 2 SWORD POINT 3.1% 32.08 8
8 3 MONEY CATCHER 2.4% 42.38 10
9 5 TELECOM FIGHTERS 1.4% 73.76 9
10 8 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 1.3% 74.39 5
CHANCHENG GLORY — wonMOMENTS IN TIMEATULLIBIGEALC P BRAVETHE BEST PEACHTHE GOLDEN SCENERYSWORD POINTMONEY CATCHERTELECOM FIGHTERSALL FOR ST PAUL'S

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 17.5

PLACE

1 20

4 12

6 25.5

QUINELLA

1,4 78

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 30

1,6 124

4,6 41

FORECAST

4,1 88

TIERCE

4,1,6 600

TRIO

1,4,6 212

FIRST 4

1,4,6,7 197

QUARTET

4,1,6,7 2,027

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

2/1 39.5

2/4 28.5