Sha Tin · 2024-07-14 · 19:03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly 1.22.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 1.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TOP PEAK Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly CP/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GREAT SPIRIT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | HOLY POWER B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 3 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON Led early CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FOOLISH HEART V/TT- K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 8.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Closed strongly TT1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 157.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WINDICATOR FAMILY B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 100.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | MIU FA FA H1/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 9 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | LINK Closed strongly CP/XB/TT- Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 14 | 129.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | WINNING TURN CP/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 83.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STEPS AHEAD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with TOP PEAK second and SMILING COLLECTOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STEPS AHEAD | 34.0% | 2.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | TOP PEAK | 13.9% | 7.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 7.9% | 12.64 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | FAMILY JEWEL | 7.2% | 13.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 6.9% | 14.43 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 6.7% | 15.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | HOLY POWER | 6.1% | 16.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 4.5% | 22.21 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | FOOLISH HEART | 3.2% | 31.49 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | MIU FA FA | 2.9% | 34.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | GREAT SPIRIT | 2.7% | 36.90 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 2.2% | 45.16 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | LINK | 1.3% | 77.45 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | WINNING TURN | 0.5% | 186.35 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 18.5
PLACE
1 30.5
2 11.5
7 37.5
QUINELLA
1,2 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 39.5
1,7 166
2,7 54.5
FORECAST
2,1 134
TIERCE
2,1,7 870
TRIO
1,2,7 261
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 634
QUARTET
2,1,7,4 7,014
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/1,2,7 5,562
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 96
12/2 159
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,11/4,7,12/1,2,7 2,337,805
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,11/4,7,12/Any Combination 4,623