沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 10場
2024-09-08沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的GORGEOUS WIN勝出，贏出1。GLORY ELITE獲得亞軍；CAPTAIN WIN獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門GLORY ELITE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GORGEOUS WIN TT 1.08.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRINCE OF PORTY B/TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ELEGANT LIFE CP A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 147.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | ENDEARED XB B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 11 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SILO B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 14 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 57.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ALPHA ONE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | AWESOME TREASURE TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | POLARIS B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MODULECONSTRUCTION C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GLORY ELITE | 24.7% | 4.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | GORGEOUS WIN | 14.8% | 6.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 12.0% | 8.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | CAPTAIN WIN | 10.8% | 9.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 8.4% | 11.90 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | POLARIS | 5.0% | 19.82 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 4.5% | 22.02 | 13 |
| 8 | 14 | AWESOME TREASURE | 3.8% | 26.05 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | NOT USUAL STAR | 3.6% | 27.53 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | ALPHA ONE | 3.6% | 27.79 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | KING ECCELLENTE | 3.1% | 31.97 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | SILO | 3.1% | 32.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | ENDEARED | 2.0% | 51.18 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | ELEGANT LIFE | 0.5% | 219.64 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 55
PLACE
1 21
5 15.5
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,5 85.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 40.5
1,9 72.5
5,9 43
FORECAST
1,5 237
TIERCE
1,5,9 1,030
TRIO
1,5,9 190
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 690
QUARTET
1,5,9,11 13,310
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
13/2/1 39,675
13/2/5 3,244
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/1,5,9 27,203
9TH DOUBLE
2/1 737.5
2/5 49
SIX UP
4,10/3,12/2,4/8,13/2,5/1,5 6,340
4/12/2/13/2/1 5,938,083
4 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —