沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 5場
2024-09-08沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的MY WISH勝出，贏出2-1/4。SUPER LEGENDS獲得亞軍；STERLING WONGCHOY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY WISH 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER LEGENDS TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 3 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | STERLING WONGCHOY XB/SR1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 100.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | POCHETTINO H1/TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 110.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | YEAH BUDDY B/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 8 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | PEARL OF PANG'S M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SNOWALOT B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LIFE OF STONE C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 2 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER BONUS B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 6.3 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY WISH | 19.1% | 5.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SUPER BONUS | 18.7% | 5.36 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 15.3% | 6.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER LEGENDS | 14.4% | 6.97 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 10.0% | 10.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 7.2% | 13.88 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | POCHETTINO | 6.6% | 15.13 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | SNOWALOT | 4.1% | 24.24 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 2.2% | 45.49 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | YEAH BUDDY | 1.7% | 58.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | LIFE OF STONE | 0.8% | 130.87 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 22.5
PLACE
4 12.5
10 17.5
11 184.5
QUINELLA
4,10 70
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 30.5
4,11 417
10,11 770
FORECAST
4,10 106
TIERCE
4,10,11 7,451
TRIO
4,10,11 2,021
FIRST 4
4,7,10,11 16,265
QUARTET
4,10,11,7 116,279
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/1/4 103
1/1/10 45
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 46
1/10 28.5