沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 8場
2024-09-08沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的HARMONY N HOME勝出，贏出1/2。SOLID WIN獲得亞軍；BALLISTIC WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門BALLISTIC WIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME 後段發力 1.22.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 57.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN 後段發力 B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 2 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 早段領放 TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR 後段發力 XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FAMILY JEWEL TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 90.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | BLAZING WIND TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN | 17.5% | 5.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 13.4% | 7.48 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | BLAZING WIND | 10.7% | 9.30 | 13 |
| 4 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 7.8% | 12.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | FAMILY JEWEL | 7.5% | 13.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | SOLID WIN | 7.0% | 14.37 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.0% | 20.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.0% | 20.15 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 4.9% | 20.38 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.9% | 20.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.4% | 22.82 | 1 |
| 13 | 4 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 1.7% | 60.16 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 576.5
PLACE
1 15.5
8 21.5
13 128.5
QUINELLA
8,13 1,697
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 54.5
1,13 307.5
8,13 560
FORECAST
13,8 4,422
TIERCE
13,8,1 28,253
TRIO
1,8,13 1,962
FIRST 4
1,8,11,13 6,446
QUARTET
13,8,1,11 261,471
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,8,13 34,529
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 44
2/13 2,044.5