沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 6場
2024-09-08沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米。由L Hewitson策騎、D A Hayes訓練的AMAZING RUN勝出，贏出SH。FIGHTING MACHINE獲得亞軍；AMAZING DUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門FIGHTING MACHINE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING RUN 後段發力 1.22.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE 後段發力 SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 13 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND 後段發力 H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | RED ACLAIM TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 127.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAUTIFUL WIN 後段發力 TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 77.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CIRCUIT FIERY A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | CHARITY FOR ALL TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | STAR LINE 早段領放 B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 4 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | CALL ME SUPREME B/XB1/TT- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 5.4 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 18.7% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | FORERUNNER | 15.7% | 6.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 10.9% | 9.18 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | CALL ME SUPREME | 8.3% | 12.01 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING DUCK | 7.0% | 14.38 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING RUN | 5.4% | 18.61 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | CHARITY FOR ALL | 5.0% | 19.88 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | STAR LINE | 4.9% | 20.50 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | RED ACLAIM | 1.6% | 60.71 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 1.4% | 69.26 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 188
PLACE
3 17.5
5 18
12 56.5
QUINELLA
3,12 503
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 43
3,12 156.5
5,12 201.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,174
TIERCE
12,3,5 6,217
TRIO
3,5,12 706
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 956
QUARTET
12,3,5,11 35,801
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/3,5,12 259,433
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 19.5
4/12 556.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,10/4,10,11/3,5,12 18,100,309
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/4,10,11/Any Combination 10,797