Sha Tin · 2024-09-08
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AMAZING RUN Closed strongly 1.22.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly SR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING DUCK CP M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 13 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | RED ACLAIM TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 127.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 77.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CIRCUIT FIERY A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | CHARITY FOR ALL TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | STAR LINE Led early B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 4 | 57.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | CALL ME SUPREME B/XB1/TT- K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 5.4 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 4 over 1400m. AMAZING RUN, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by SH, with FIGHTING MACHINE second and AMAZING DUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite FIGHTING MACHINE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 18.7% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | FORERUNNER | 15.7% | 6.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 10.9% | 9.18 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | CALL ME SUPREME | 8.3% | 12.01 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING DUCK | 7.0% | 14.38 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | JUMBO LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING RUN | 5.4% | 18.61 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | CHARITY FOR ALL | 5.0% | 19.88 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | STAR LINE | 4.9% | 20.50 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | RED ACLAIM | 1.6% | 60.71 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 1.4% | 69.26 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 188
PLACE
3 17.5
5 18
12 56.5
QUINELLA
3,12 503
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 43
3,12 156.5
5,12 201.5
FORECAST
12,3 1,174
TIERCE
12,3,5 6,217
TRIO
3,5,12 706
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 956
QUARTET
12,3,5,11 35,801
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/3,5,12 259,433
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 19.5
4/12 556.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,10/4,10,11/3,5,12 18,100,309
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/4,10,11/Any Combination 10,797