Sha Tin · 2024-09-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GO GO GO Closed strongly P-/PC1/TT 1.35.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP- K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 29.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B-/TT1 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B-/SR1/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly E- H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 45.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 5 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | MR ALADDIN B/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FURY AND GOLD Closed strongly TT1 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 13 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY HUNK CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | VERBIER Led early B E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 30.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER B B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | TIGER AND GOLD B M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 10 | 131.0 | 20-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 5 over 1600m. GO GO GO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SUNNY BABY second and JOYFUL PROSPERITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GO GO GO | 27.9% | 3.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HARRY'S HERO | 9.4% | 10.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 9.2% | 10.82 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 8.4% | 11.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER | 7.6% | 13.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | MR ALADDIN | 7.1% | 14.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 7.1% | 14.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | CIRCUIT NINE | 7.1% | 14.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNNY BABY | 6.6% | 15.08 | 2 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY HUNK | 4.5% | 22.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | FURY AND GOLD | 2.9% | 35.08 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | VERBIER | 1.5% | 64.60 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.6% | 159.05 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 28
PLACE
2 17
8 14
11 60.5
QUINELLA
8,11 330
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 26
2,11 176
8,11 107
FORECAST
8,11 520
TIERCE
8,11,2 1,931
TRIO
2,8,11 351
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 1,350
QUARTET
8,11,2,5 25,141