Sha Tin · 2024-09-08
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 4 over 1400m. HARMONY N HOME, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with SOLID WIN second and BALLISTIC WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite BALLISTIC WIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME Closed strongly 1.22.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 57.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN Closed strongly B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 2 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Led early TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FAMILY JEWEL TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 39.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | U S S CONSTITUTION B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 90.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | BLAZING WIND TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BALLISTIC WIN | 17.5% | 5.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 13.4% | 7.48 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | BLAZING WIND | 10.7% | 9.30 | 13 |
| 4 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 7.8% | 12.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | FAMILY JEWEL | 7.5% | 13.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | SOLID WIN | 7.0% | 14.37 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.0% | 20.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.0% | 20.15 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 4.9% | 20.38 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.9% | 20.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.4% | 22.82 | 1 |
| 13 | 4 | U S S CONSTITUTION | 1.7% | 60.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 576.5
PLACE
1 15.5
8 21.5
13 128.5
QUINELLA
8,13 1,697
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 54.5
1,13 307.5
8,13 560
FORECAST
13,8 4,422
TIERCE
13,8,1 28,253
TRIO
1,8,13 1,962
FIRST 4
1,8,11,13 6,446
QUARTET
13,8,1,11 261,471
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,8,13 34,529
7TH DOUBLE
2/8 44
2/13 2,044.5