Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-09-08

Race 4

Class 4 1000m Course A 12 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 4 over 1000m. FAST NETWORK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/2, with CHEVAL VALIANT second and GLORIOUS EXPERT third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 FAST NETWORK TT 0.56.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 4 1.8 1-1/2
2 4 CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte 5 8.1 1-1/2
3 10 GLORIOUS EXPERT CP-/TT- P N Wong · D J Hall 7 23.0 2
4 2 METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes 12 8.0 2-1/4
5 5 COLOURFUL WINNER M L Yeung · W Y So 9 8.0 3
6 9 CIRCUIT VICTORY M F Poon · K L Man 10 50.0 3-1/4
7 11 SUPER GLORY B-/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng 6 13.0 3-1/2
8 12 PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 14.0 3-3/4
9 7 RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor 11 21.0 3-3/4
10 3 MAJESTIC EXPRESS E1 H Bowman · J Size 3 68.0 4-3/4
11 6 ALWAYS MY FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang 1 104.0 7-3/4
12 8 ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 8 177.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAST NETWORK2. CHEVAL VALIANT+1.5L3. GLORIOUS EXPERT+2L4. METRO WARRIOR+2.25L5. COLOURFUL WINNER+3L6. CIRCUIT VICTORY+3.25L7. SUPER GLORY+3.5L8. PARENTS' LOVE+3.75L9. RUN RUN COOL+3.75L10. MAJESTIC EXPRESS+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAST NETWORK (48.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FAST NETWORK 48.4% 2.07 1
2 5 COLOURFUL WINNER 10.8% 9.26 5
3 4 CHEVAL VALIANT 8.7% 11.44 2
4 7 RUN RUN COOL 5.6% 17.82 9
5 12 PARENTS' LOVE 5.5% 18.08 8
6 2 METRO WARRIOR 5.5% 18.11 4
7 3 MAJESTIC EXPRESS 3.9% 25.79 10
8 10 GLORIOUS EXPERT 3.7% 26.79 3
9 11 SUPER GLORY 3.4% 29.42 7
10 6 ALWAYS MY FOLKS 2.4% 41.00 11
11 9 CIRCUIT VICTORY 1.2% 86.37 6
12 8 ALP'S AFFECTION 0.8% 126.88 12
FAST NETWORK — wonCOLOURFUL WINNERCHEVAL VALIANTRUN RUN COOLPARENTS' LOVEMETRO WARRIORMAJESTIC EXPRESSGLORIOUS EXPERTSUPER GLORYALWAYS MY FOLKSCIRCUIT VICTORYALP'S AFFECTION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 18

PLACE

1 10.5

4 22

10 49

QUINELLA

1,4 78

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 35

1,10 89.5

4,10 189.5

FORECAST

1,4 93

TIERCE

1,4,10 1,128

TRIO

1,4,10 433

FIRST 4

1,2,4,10 463

QUARTET

1,4,10,2 5,302

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,8/1,4,10 4,066

3RD DOUBLE

1/1 36.5

1/4 43.5