沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 4場
2024-09-08沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的FAST NETWORK勝出，贏出1-1/2。CHEVAL VALIANT獲得亞軍；GLORIOUS EXPERT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAST NETWORK TT 0.56.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 1.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | GLORIOUS EXPERT CP-/TT- P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 7 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR B K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | COLOURFUL WINNER M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 8.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | CIRCUIT VICTORY M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 50.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER GLORY B-/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS E1 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 104.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 8 | 177.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAST NETWORK | 48.4% | 2.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 10.8% | 9.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.7% | 11.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.6% | 17.82 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | PARENTS' LOVE | 5.5% | 18.08 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR | 5.5% | 18.11 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | MAJESTIC EXPRESS | 3.9% | 25.79 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.7% | 26.79 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER GLORY | 3.4% | 29.42 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 2.4% | 41.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 1.2% | 86.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 0.8% | 126.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 18
PLACE
1 10.5
4 22
10 49
QUINELLA
1,4 78
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 35
1,10 89.5
4,10 189.5
FORECAST
1,4 93
TIERCE
1,4,10 1,128
TRIO
1,4,10 433
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 463
QUARTET
1,4,10,2 5,302
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,8/1,4,10 4,066
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 36.5
1/4 43.5