沙田 · 2024-09-08
第 2場
2024-09-08沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、M Newnham訓練的SAME TO YOU勝出，贏出1/2。HO HO STAR獲得亞軍；SUPER ELITE獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SUPER ELITE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT 1.09.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 9 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HO HO STAR H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER ELITE B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 48.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | YOUTH POWER B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | RED MAVERICK M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 56.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | MOLLY'S WITNESS B/SR1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 107.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY QUALITY V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | TATTENHAM H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 7.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 13 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER ELITE | 16.6% | 6.02 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | SMART LEADER | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | TATTENHAM | 13.8% | 7.26 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | HO HO STAR | 9.3% | 10.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL | 8.9% | 11.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY QUALITY | 8.2% | 12.22 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | SAME TO YOU | 5.6% | 17.92 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | ALLOY KING | 5.1% | 19.74 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 4.8% | 20.96 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | RED MAVERICK | 4.3% | 23.17 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | YOUTH POWER | 4.0% | 24.84 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 4.0% | 25.11 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | MOLLY'S WITNESS | 0.9% | 112.62 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 153.5
PLACE
3 15
9 38
12 28
QUINELLA
9,12 566.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 95
3,12 81
9,12 180.5
FORECAST
9,12 1,277
TIERCE
9,12,3 5,760
TRIO
3,9,12 729
FIRST 4
3,9,10,12 1,060
QUARTET
9,12,3,10 34,574
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/9 584.5
8/12 58.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/3,9,12 20,316