Sha Tin · 2024-09-08
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 1 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY WAVES second and SUPERB CAPITALIST third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.08.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY WAVES E/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 10 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING ACE B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 6 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 47.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 71.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 31.3% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY WAVES | 23.2% | 4.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 11.9% | 8.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 8.5% | 11.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 6.8% | 14.60 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | PACKING TREADMILL | 5.2% | 19.13 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 4.4% | 22.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 3.6% | 27.78 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | BABY CRYSTAL | 2.8% | 35.23 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.2% | 46.36 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 23.5
PLACE
1 11
7 23.5
8 13
QUINELLA
1,8 27
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 46
1,8 15.5
7,8 40
FORECAST
1,8 55
TIERCE
1,8,7 296
TRIO
1,7,8 75
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 382
QUARTET
1,8,7,9 2,866
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 429
9/8 72