Sha Tin · 2024-09-08
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-09-08 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUPER FORTUNE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with HAROLD WIN second and GENEVA third. The 3.6 favourite GENEVA finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE TT 1.08.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 5 | HAROLD WIN B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | GENEVA H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND B1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 4.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 8 | 6.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 1 | 8.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TAKE ACTION P- K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DAY DAY VICTORY XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER CHARIZZARD P B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 6 | 31.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | CHAMPION METHOD B2/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | FIRST LOVE L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 2 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | EN PERFECTO TT1 B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 10 | 74.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIRST LOVE | 23.8% | 4.20 | 11 |
| 2 | 8 | GENEVA | 19.9% | 5.03 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 11.1% | 8.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 10.7% | 9.31 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 7.6% | 13.20 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | HAROLD WIN | 7.5% | 13.30 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | CHAMPION METHOD | 6.8% | 14.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | EN PERFECTO | 3.8% | 25.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPER FORTUNE | 3.5% | 28.56 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | TAKE ACTION | 2.3% | 43.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 2.3% | 43.58 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 0.5% | 182.05 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 99
PLACE
2 34.5
5 29
8 16.5
QUINELLA
2,5 594
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 193
2,8 77
5,8 79.5
FORECAST
2,5 1,208
TIERCE
2,5,8 5,748
TRIO
2,5,8 775
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 778
QUARTET
2,5,8,6 24,851
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
13/2 5,279
13/5 1,073.5