沙田 · 2024-11-03
第 2場
2024-11-03沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的GENEVA勝出，贏出1/2。PACKING ANGEL獲得亞軍；GREAT SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GENEVA 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | PACKING ANGEL TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | GREAT SPIRIT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | OFFROAD MASTER B1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 66.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WINNING LION CP1/TT1 K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | SOLAR UP H/P/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 39.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 12 | 128.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SPICY SPANGLE TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN B-/TT B Thompson · K H Ting | B Thompson | K H Ting | 10 | 73.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 147.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | COLONEL B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 26.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | VICTOR THE RAPID C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GENEVA | 28.7% | 3.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | GREAT SPIRIT | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | PACKING ANGEL | 15.6% | 6.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SPICY SPANGLE | 8.6% | 11.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | COLONEL | 6.3% | 15.94 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 5.1% | 19.46 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD | 3.4% | 29.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | OFFROAD MASTER | 2.7% | 37.65 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING LION | 2.6% | 39.19 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SOLAR UP | 2.4% | 41.31 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 0.7% | 134.03 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING | 0.6% | 162.25 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 11
8 20.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
1,8 57
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 26.5
1,10 17.5
8,10 50.5
FORECAST
1,8 86
TIERCE
1,8,10 221
TRIO
1,8,10 71
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 578
QUARTET
1,8,10,7 4,444
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/1 191.5
9/8 60.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/1,8,10 7,889