沙田 · 2024-11-03
第 10場
2024-11-03沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的STEPS AHEAD勝出，贏出HD。ARMOUR WAR EAGLE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY CRESCENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門AEROINVINCIBLE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD 後段發力 1.21.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.6 | HD |
| 2 | 14 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 後段發力 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | THE HEIR 後段發力 B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE 後段發力 CP H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 14 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | AEROINVINCIBLE 早段領放 SR/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY B/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NAMJONG KINGDOM 後段發力 TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 127.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER GOLDI TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | DEFINITIVE CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 86.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND V-/B2 K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 57.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 31.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE WAR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 190.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 27.0% | 3.70 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 5.5% | 18.06 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | THE HEIR | 4.4% | 22.64 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 4.0% | 24.70 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 3.8% | 26.17 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 3.8% | 26.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | DEFINITIVE | 3.7% | 26.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER GOLDI | 2.9% | 34.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 2.2% | 45.37 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 1.7% | 60.46 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE WAR | 1.6% | 61.59 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 36.5
PLACE
2 23.5
10 16
14 38
QUINELLA
10,14 259
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 68.5
2,14 244
10,14 90.5
FORECAST
10,14 384
TIERCE
10,14,2 3,624
TRIO
2,10,14 895
FIRST 4
2,10,12,14 3,620
QUARTET
10,14,2,12 60,250
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/11/10 571
1/11/14 587
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/2,10,14 14,795
9TH DOUBLE
11/10 222
11/14 131.5
SIX UP
8,11/8,11/8,14/1,2/9,11/10,14 24,284
11/11/14/1/11/10 664,438
2 [K C Leung] —
7 [A S Cruz] —