Sha Tin · 2024-11-03
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly 1.21.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.6 | HD |
| 2 | 14 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 13.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | THE HEIR Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE Closed strongly CP H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 14 | 9.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | AEROINVINCIBLE Led early SR/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY B/TT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NAMJONG KINGDOM Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 127.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER GOLDI TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | DEFINITIVE CP1/TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 86.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND V-/B2 K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 5 | 57.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 31.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE WAR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 190.0 | 14 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 3 over 1400m. STEPS AHEAD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite AEROINVINCIBLE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 27.0% | 3.70 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD | 24.9% | 4.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 8.0% | 12.46 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 5.5% | 18.06 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | THE HEIR | 4.4% | 22.64 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 4.0% | 24.70 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 3.8% | 26.17 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 3.8% | 26.18 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | DEFINITIVE | 3.7% | 26.69 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER GOLDI | 2.9% | 34.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 2.2% | 45.37 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 1.7% | 60.46 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | ACE WAR | 1.6% | 61.59 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 36.5
PLACE
2 23.5
10 16
14 38
QUINELLA
10,14 259
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 68.5
2,14 244
10,14 90.5
FORECAST
10,14 384
TIERCE
10,14,2 3,624
TRIO
2,10,14 895
FIRST 4
2,10,12,14 3,620
QUARTET
10,14,2,12 60,250
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/11/10 571
1/11/14 587
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/2,10,14 14,795
9TH DOUBLE
11/10 222
11/14 131.5
SIX UP
8,11/8,11/8,14/1,2/9,11/10,14 24,284
11/11/14/1/11/10 664,438
7 [A S Cruz] —
2 [K C Leung] —