Sha Tin · 2024-11-03
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 3 over 1400m. MY WISH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by 1/2, with SKY TRUST second and STELLAR SWIFT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MY WISH Wire to wire 1.21.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SKY TRUST H/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 7 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.4 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LESLIE Closed strongly B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 11 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly B1/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 52.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN ARTIE H-/XB- B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 12 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | POLARIS B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 81.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GREAT STATE TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 13 | 112.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | DILBAGH XB1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 149.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 10 | 244.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 25.2% | 3.98 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | STELLAR SWIFT | 15.4% | 6.51 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | MY WISH | 13.2% | 7.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 12.0% | 8.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HUGE WAVE | 7.3% | 13.69 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 4.8% | 20.73 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | DILBAGH | 4.6% | 21.66 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE | 3.7% | 27.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | LESLIE | 3.5% | 28.33 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 2.8% | 36.03 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | GREAT STATE | 2.6% | 38.50 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | NOISY BOY | 2.5% | 39.51 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | POLARIS | 1.8% | 55.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.6% | 159.84 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 31
PLACE
8 18
9 18
11 14.5
QUINELLA
9,11 83
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 46
8,11 44
9,11 35
FORECAST
11,9 148
TIERCE
11,9,8 655
TRIO
8,9,11 166
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 114
QUARTET
11,9,8,2 3,117
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/9 26
1/11 203