Sha Tin · 2024-11-03
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B1/H1/TT 1.22.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SOLID WIN TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 5 | 69.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ENDEARED Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | MR ENERGIA B H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 4 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | EVER SMART H/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY Closed strongly SR/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 13 | 50.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR Closed strongly B L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | MILES AWAY Led early CP A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 103.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 14 | 82.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | ARIEL CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 4 over 1400m. FLYING LUCK, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with SOLID WIN second and SUNDAY'S SERENADE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite YUEN LONG ELITE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR ENERGIA | 13.9% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 13.8% | 7.23 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 12.6% | 7.93 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR | 10.3% | 9.73 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | SOLID WIN | 9.4% | 10.65 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | FLYING LUCK | 8.2% | 12.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | ENDEARED | 6.0% | 16.73 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | DOUBLE WIN | 5.3% | 19.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 4.8% | 20.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 4.7% | 21.35 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | ARIEL | 3.8% | 26.38 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | EVER SMART | 3.2% | 31.74 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | MILES AWAY | 2.3% | 43.14 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.8% | 55.65 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 105
PLACE
8 23
11 35
12 143.5
QUINELLA
8,11 471
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 132
8,12 542
11,12 983.5
FORECAST
11,8 1,125
TIERCE
11,8,12 30,951
TRIO
8,11,12 7,433
FIRST 4
5,8,11,12 8,299
QUARTET
11,8,12,5 279,826
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/8,11,12 300,232
5TH DOUBLE
11/8 91.5
11/11 1,640
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,4/4,8,11/Any Combination 477