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Sha Tin · 2024-11-03

Race 8

Class 3 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 3 over 1200m. GLORY ELITE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 2-1/2, with LADY'S CHOICE second and ALSONSO third. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.08.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GLORY ELITE H 1.08.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting 3 3.6 2-1/2
2 2 LADY'S CHOICE B/H K Teetan · C W Chang 11 17.0 2-1/2
3 6 ALSONSO H Bentley · M Newnham 1 5.5 2-3/4
4 9 MAJESTIC EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size 2 5.4 3-1/4
5 4 THE STORM TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 10 119.0 4
6 10 PACKING TURBINE TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng 12 3.7 4-3/4
7 7 THUNDER PRINCE TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So 9 98.0 4-3/4
8 11 PHOENIX LIGHT H M Chadwick · C H Yip 7 69.0 5
9 5 AWESOME TREASURE TT P N Wong · D A Hayes 6 10.0 5
10 3 PRESTIGE RICKY XB1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu 4 102.0 7-1/4
11 8 YOUNG ARROW XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 5 40.0 8-1/2
12 12 SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 8 13.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GLORY ELITE2. LADY'S CHOICE+2.5L3. ALSONSO+2.75L4. MAJESTIC EXPRESS+3.25L5. THE STORM+4L6. PACKING TURBINE+4.75L7. THUNDER PRINCE+4.75L8. PHOENIX LIGHT+5L9. AWESOME TREASURE+5L10. PRESTIGE RICKY+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING TURBINE (16.2%) finished 6th — the winner GLORY ELITE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 PACKING TURBINE 16.2% 6.17 6
2 1 GLORY ELITE 15.1% 6.61 1
3 9 MAJESTIC EXPRESS 13.9% 7.22 4
4 4 THE STORM 10.3% 9.70 5
5 8 YOUNG ARROW 9.0% 11.17 11
6 5 AWESOME TREASURE 7.1% 14.04 9
7 12 SUPER FORTUNE 6.6% 15.14 12
8 6 ALSONSO 6.4% 15.70 3
9 2 LADY'S CHOICE 5.6% 17.73 2
10 7 THUNDER PRINCE 4.2% 24.06 7
11 3 PRESTIGE RICKY 3.9% 25.79 10
12 11 PHOENIX LIGHT 1.8% 56.40 8
PACKING TURBINEGLORY ELITE — wonMAJESTIC EXPRESSTHE STORMYOUNG ARROWAWESOME TREASURESUPER FORTUNEALSONSOLADY'S CHOICETHUNDER PRINCEPRESTIGE RICKYPHOENIX LIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 36

PLACE

1 13.5

2 37.5

6 18.5

QUINELLA

1,2 216.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 68.5

1,6 48.5

2,6 151.5

FORECAST

1,2 318

TIERCE

1,2,6 1,686

TRIO

1,2,6 418

FIRST 4

1,2,6,9 362

QUARTET

1,2,6,9 6,671

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,8,14/1,2,6 145,623

7TH DOUBLE

14/1 454

14/2 347