Sha Tin · 2024-11-03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ENSUED Closed strongly 1.46.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 61.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly V/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 6.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 1 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 2.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | KARMA Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 12 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 14 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | SENOR TOBA TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 61.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | MOMENTS IN TIME TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 11 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | FLAMING RABBIT CP-/SR-/TT- Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 5 | 156.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 193.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Group 3 over 1800m. ENSUED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with LA CITY BLANCHE second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite MASSIVE SOVEREIGN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MASSIVE SOVEREIGN | 18.4% | 5.42 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 15.5% | 6.47 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | KARMA | 14.8% | 6.74 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY JOY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 7 |
| 5 | 14 | ENSUED | 7.5% | 13.42 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | FIVE G PATCH | 6.0% | 16.65 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | SWORD POINT | 5.8% | 17.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 5.7% | 17.69 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 4.8% | 20.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 3.4% | 29.49 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | SENOR TOBA | 2.9% | 34.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | ENCOUNTERED | 2.5% | 40.08 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 2.1% | 46.62 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | FLAMING RABBIT | 1.4% | 72.31 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 117.5
PLACE
4 18
8 104
14 33.5
QUINELLA
8,14 2,841
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 341
4,14 91
8,14 698
FORECAST
14,8 5,550
TIERCE
14,8,4 32,871
TRIO
4,8,14 3,640
FIRST 4
4,7,8,14 8,890
QUARTET
14,8,4,7 251,588
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
11/8 1,167
11/14 2,534