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Sha Tin · 2024-11-03

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER OF ALL, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with DRAGON JOY second and MARKWIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite MARKWIN finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 MASTER OF ALL Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 3 6.2 SH
2 8 DRAGON JOY Led early SR H Bowman · P F Yiu 10 7.9 SH
3 4 MARKWIN Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 2.2 1/2
4 10 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 27.0 2-1/4
5 13 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 5 10.0 2-1/2
6 9 CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT Z Purton · K L Man 9 15.0 3
7 2 RUN RUN TIMING TT P N Wong · C H Yip 11 16.0 3-3/4
8 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B B Thompson · D J Hall 7 197.0 4
9 14 YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 14 20.0 4-3/4
10 5 CLASSIC CENTURY TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 14.0 5
11 1 THRIVING BROTHERS XB A Badel · D J Whyte 4 18.0 5-1/4
12 7 PATCH OF LUCKY B1/TT1 C L Chau · K H Ting 12 77.0 9-1/2
13 6 LUCKY GOLD B L Hewitson · K W Lui 6 107.0 11-1/4
14 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 13 103.0 18-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF ALL2. DRAGON JOY+0.1L3. MARKWIN+0.5L4. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+2.25L5. TAKE ACTION+2.5L6. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+3L7. RUN RUN TIMING+3.75L8. WINDICATOR FAMILY+4L9. YODA'S CHOICE+4.75L10. CLASSIC CENTURY+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DRAGON JOY (13.3%) finished 2nd — the winner MASTER OF ALL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 DRAGON JOY 13.3% 7.54 2
2 11 MASTER OF ALL 10.4% 9.57 1
3 9 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 9.7% 10.36 6
4 5 CLASSIC CENTURY 9.0% 11.12 10
5 4 MARKWIN 8.8% 11.34 3
6 1 THRIVING BROTHERS 8.5% 11.74 11
7 2 RUN RUN TIMING 8.1% 12.42 7
8 10 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 6.4% 15.62 4
9 14 YODA'S CHOICE 6.4% 15.71 9
10 13 TAKE ACTION 5.7% 17.57 5
11 7 PATCH OF LUCKY 4.6% 21.66 12
12 6 LUCKY GOLD 4.1% 24.68 13
13 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR 3.7% 27.28 14
14 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY 1.5% 68.86 8
DRAGON JOYMASTER OF ALL — wonCIRCUIT MIGHTYCLASSIC CENTURYMARKWINTHRIVING BROTHERSRUN RUN TIMINGCALIFORNIA MOXIEYODA'S CHOICETAKE ACTIONPATCH OF LUCKYLUCKY GOLDMAJESTIC COLOURWINDICATOR FAMILY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 62.5

PLACE

4 13.5

8 25.5

11 18

QUINELLA

8,11 240

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 46.5

4,11 25

8,11 77.5

FORECAST

11,8 484

TIERCE

11,8,4 1,299

TRIO

4,8,11 123

FIRST 4

4,8,10,11 488

QUARTET

11,8,4,10 14,119

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/2/8 773

1/2/11 1,365

4TH DOUBLE

2/8 102.5

2/11 227.5