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Sha Tin · 2024-11-03

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 MASTER OF ALL Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 3 6.2 SH
2 8 DRAGON JOY Led early SR H Bowman · P F Yiu 10 7.9 SH
3 4 MARKWIN Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 2.2 1/2
4 10 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 27.0 2-1/4
5 13 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 5 10.0 2-1/2
6 9 CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT Z Purton · K L Man 9 15.0 3
7 2 RUN RUN TIMING TT P N Wong · C H Yip 11 16.0 3-3/4
8 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B B Thompson · D J Hall 7 197.0 4
9 14 YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 14 20.0 4-3/4
10 5 CLASSIC CENTURY TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 14.0 5
11 1 THRIVING BROTHERS XB A Badel · D J Whyte 4 18.0 5-1/4
12 7 PATCH OF LUCKY B1/TT1 C L Chau · K H Ting 12 77.0 9-1/2
13 6 LUCKY GOLD B L Hewitson · K W Lui 6 107.0 11-1/4
14 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 13 103.0 18-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-03 was Class 4 over 1400m. MASTER OF ALL, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by SH, with DRAGON JOY second and MARKWIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite MARKWIN finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF ALL—2. DRAGON JOY+0.1L3. MARKWIN+0.5L4. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+2.25L5. TAKE ACTION+2.5L6. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+3L7. RUN RUN TIMING+3.75L8. WINDICATOR FAMILY+4L9. YODA'S CHOICE+4.75L10. CLASSIC CENTURY+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DRAGON JOY (13.3%) finished 2nd — the winner MASTER OF ALL was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 DRAGON JOY 13.3% 7.54 2
2 11 MASTER OF ALL 10.4% 9.57 1
3 9 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 9.7% 10.36 6
4 5 CLASSIC CENTURY 9.0% 11.12 10
5 4 MARKWIN 8.8% 11.34 3
6 1 THRIVING BROTHERS 8.5% 11.74 11
7 2 RUN RUN TIMING 8.1% 12.42 7
8 10 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 6.4% 15.62 4
9 14 YODA'S CHOICE 6.4% 15.71 9
10 13 TAKE ACTION 5.7% 17.57 5
11 7 PATCH OF LUCKY 4.6% 21.66 12
12 6 LUCKY GOLD 4.1% 24.68 13
13 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR 3.7% 27.28 14
14 12 WINDICATOR FAMILY 1.5% 68.86 8
DRAGON JOYMASTER OF ALL — wonCIRCUIT MIGHTYCLASSIC CENTURYMARKWINTHRIVING BROTHERSRUN RUN TIMINGCALIFORNIA MOXIEYODA'S CHOICETAKE ACTIONPATCH OF LUCKYLUCKY GOLDMAJESTIC COLOURWINDICATOR FAMILY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 62.5

PLACE

4 13.5

8 25.5

11 18

QUINELLA

8,11 240

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 46.5

4,11 25

8,11 77.5

FORECAST

11,8 484

TIERCE

11,8,4 1,299

TRIO

4,8,11 123

FIRST 4

4,8,10,11 488

QUARTET

11,8,4,10 14,119

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/2/8 773

1/2/11 1,365

4TH DOUBLE

2/8 102.5

2/11 227.5