沙田 · 2024-11-03
第 5場
2024-11-03沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M L Yeung策騎、W Y So訓練的MASTER OF ALL勝出，贏出SH。DRAGON JOY獲得亞軍；MARKWIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門MARKWIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MASTER OF ALL 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 6.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | DRAGON JOY 早段領放 SR H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.9 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | MARKWIN 後段發力 TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | TAKE ACTION 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WINDICATOR FAMILY 後段發力 B B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 7 | 197.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 14 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CLASSIC CENTURY TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | THRIVING BROTHERS XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY B1/TT1 C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 12 | 77.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 107.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 103.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON JOY | 13.3% | 7.54 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | MASTER OF ALL | 10.4% | 9.57 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | CLASSIC CENTURY | 9.0% | 11.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | MARKWIN | 8.8% | 11.34 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 8.5% | 11.74 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | RUN RUN TIMING | 8.1% | 12.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 6.4% | 15.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | YODA'S CHOICE | 6.4% | 15.71 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | TAKE ACTION | 5.7% | 17.57 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY | 4.6% | 21.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD | 4.1% | 24.68 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 3.7% | 27.28 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 1.5% | 68.86 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 62.5
PLACE
4 13.5
8 25.5
11 18
QUINELLA
8,11 240
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 46.5
4,11 25
8,11 77.5
FORECAST
11,8 484
TIERCE
11,8,4 1,299
TRIO
4,8,11 123
FIRST 4
4,8,10,11 488
QUARTET
11,8,4,10 14,119
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/2/8 773
1/2/11 1,365
4TH DOUBLE
2/8 102.5
2/11 227.5