沙田 · 2025-10-30 · 11:50
第 2場
2025-10-30沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的NOTTHESILLYONE勝出。CHEER FOR SOUTH獲得亞軍；DOUBLE BINGO獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門LUCKY BLESSING跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NOTTHESILLYONE 1:10.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GLORY CLOUD A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 8 | 9.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FORTUNE RACER R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 11 | 63.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY BLESSING E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 6 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 4 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | LEGEND STAR Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY FORMULA Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 64.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | NOBLE GO D Probert · J Size | D Probert | J Size | 5 | 87.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | HANDSOME BLOND K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 39.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DOUBLE BINGO | 24.0% | 4.16 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 19.5% | 5.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY BLESSING | 14.5% | 6.88 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | LEGEND STAR | 12.6% | 7.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 10.7% | 9.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | GLORY CLOUD | 5.2% | 19.37 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 3.9% | 25.71 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.0% | 33.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | NOBLE GO | 2.0% | 50.13 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY FORMULA | 1.7% | 59.46 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | HANDSOME BLOND | 1.6% | 61.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE RACER | 1.4% | 73.31 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 59.5
PLACE
3 21
11 39
12 15.5
QUINELLA
3,11 412
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 125.5
3,12 36
11,12 97.5
FORECAST
3,11 741
TIERCE
3,11,12 2,697
TRIO
3,11,12 367
FIRST 4
3,5,11,12 815
QUARTET
3,11,12,5 18,926
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 98.5
3/11 115.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/3,11,12 8,744